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2010 NFL Week 10 Picks and Podcast

Before the picks, we welcome CBS Sports National Columnist Gregg Doyel back to the show to discuss Cam Newton, the Shannahan – McNabb fiasco, the Miami Heat, and his early Super Bowl picks.

The featured games this week are Titans at Dolphins, Bengals at Colts, Patriots at Pittsburgh, and Eagles at Redskins.

You can download the podcast directly (running time 90 mins) or subscribe to the feed.

If you use iTunes, just click here and then click subscribe and iTunes will take care of the rest.

NFL Week 10 2010 Picks

Straight Up

MATCHUP Vegas Vinny BostonMac RJ Peso* Actual
Ravens @ Falcons Falcons Falcons Ravens Ravens
Vikings @ Bears Vikings Vikings Vikings Vikings
Panthers @ Bucs Bucs Bucs Bucs Bucs
Lions @ Bills Bills Bills Bills Lions
Titans @ Dolphins Titans Titans Titans Dolphins
Texans @ Jaguars Texans Texans Jaguars Jaguars
Bengals @ Colts Bengals Colts Colts Colts
Jets @ Browns Jets Jets Jets Browns
Chiefs @ Broncos Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Broncos
Seahawks @ Cards Cards Cards Cards Cards
Rams @ Niners Niners Rams Niners Niners
Cowboys @ Giants Giants Giants Giants Cowboys
Patriots @ Steelers Steelers Steelers Steelers Patriots
Eagles @ Redskins Eagles Eagles Eagles Redskins
Prev Week 10-3 (.769) 9-4 (.692) 9-4 (.692) 7-6 (.538)
Overall 75-55 (.577) 74-56 (.569) 73-57 (.562) 75-55 (.577)

Against the Spread

MATCHUP Vegas Vinny BostonMac RJ Peso* Actual
Ravens @ Falcons (-1) Falcons Falcons Ravens Ravens
Vikings @ Bears (+1) Vikings Vikings Vikings Vikings
Panthers @ Bucs (-7) Bucs Bucs Panthers Bucs
Lions @ Bills (-3) Bills Bills Lions Lions
Titans @ Dolphins (+1) Titans Titans Titans Dolphins
Texans @ Jaguars (-1.5) Texans Texans Jaguars Jaguars
Bengals @ Colts (-7.5) Bengals Bengals Bengals Bengals
Jets @ Browns (+3) Jets Jets Jets Browns
Chiefs @ Broncos (+1) Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Broncos
Seahawks @ Cards (-3.5) Cards Seahawks Cards Cards
Rams @ Niners (-6) Rams Rams Rams Rams
Cowboys @ Giants (-14) Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys
Patriots @ Steelers (-4.5) Steelers Patriots Steelers Patriots
Eagles @ Redskins (+3) Eagles Eagles Eagles Redskins
Prev Week 6-6-1 (.500) 7-5-1 (.583) 7-5-1 (.583) 6-6-1 (.500)
Overall 58-67-5 (.464) 66-59-5 (.528) 57-68-5 (.456) 50-75-5 (.400)

* The peso is a coin flip of an old peso to pick the game.

Locks of the Week

Vegas Vinny: (3-6, Balance =$920). It’s hard to win in the NFL when you lose even backups of backups. The Colts went through it with Bob Sanders and now they’re going through it with… everybody. They lost Austin Collie to a vicious hit last week and they’re down to Donald Brown at RB — but the Colts always have a chance because they have Peyton Manning. Still, all these bodies piling up have to take their toll on the Colts and they lost to a very talented Eagles team last week. The Bengals are just as talented on offense and they’re feeling “frisky” even though they are pretty much out of the playoff race. (Unless they somehow can transfer to the NFC West.) A win against the Colts will go along way towards salvaging a disappointing season.

The line started at 9.5 and has moved to 7.5 points. That’s a big move. I like the Bengals in this game and I think they might pull off the upset and win outright. I like a shootout and I love the cushion Vegas is giving me. Even if Manning pulls out some 4th quarter magic, those 7.5 points is gonna give me the win. $110 to win $100 on the Bengals (+7.5).

BostonMac: (3-6, Balance =$605)All right, I know I suck at locks. In fact, if I were betting real money instead of fake money on my locks this season, I’d be under water more than the Carnival Cruise line that got stuck in the Pacific. (What a terrible vacation story by the way. More reasons never to go on a stupid cruise.) But I am confident in the Titans this week. For whatever reason, Vegas has given us a slew of 1 or 1.5 point spreads this week, and this is one to ride. Miami has yet to win at home this season, and while that’s more of a fluke than a trend, it’s not a fluke that they simply can’t score. Starting perennial Comeback Player of the Year Chad Pennington under center won’t make it any easier. Randy Moss will have something to prove this week after being shut out by the Dolphins D about five weeks and two teams ago. Look for Nate Washington to be the next Wes Welker/Percy Harvin and reap the rewards of the attention the defense will have to give to Moss. Let’s put $110 to win $100 on TENNESSEE (-1) on the road.

RJ: (5-2-1, Balance =$1240) For the millionth time, I just don’t get Vegas. I don’t know if they’re effing with people or they really know something the public doesn’t. The Denver/Kansas City game is a perfect example. The first-place Chiefs are coming off a tough division road loss in Oakland in sloppy conditions that they could’ve easily won except for a few lapses in pass defense. So in heading to another tough division road game against a vastly inferior team that got smoked by Oakland in Denver (59-14 anyone?), Vegas has decided that the Chiefs are just a single point better than the Broncos? Hmmmmmm. The Chiefs (-1) have proven they can play with good teams (yes, Oakland is good) and beat inferior teams. Denver is definitely in the latter cattegory. $55/50.

Burton: (3-5, Balance =$315). The Cowboys have looked worse than abysmal this season, rivaling Carolina as the worst team in the NFL. But people are quick to forget that they were the preseason NFC Champions. Jerry Jones’s constant reassurances that everyone would have his job until at least the end of the season laid in a level of complacency and allowed the banged-up Cowboys to pack it in after a 1-4 start. But now that Jones has shown that he’s willing to pull the trigger mid-season, it’s no longer about who will be back next season. It’s who will be back on Monday.

While they were clearly overrated, they are not 1-7 bad, and knowing that each game could be their last in the NFL, the Cowboys are certain to show up motivated at least for a week or two. Not just do I think the 14-point spread is insane, but I believe the Cowboys are going to win this game outright. At this point, I need to make a move, so I’m going $220 to win $200 to hopefully get me back into the race with these other losers. If not, it’ll be a long offseason as I plummet towards zero. Dallas (+14)

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