Last week we went a combined 33-23, a win percentage of .589. While this a big dropoff since the previous week, it was a tough week all around for pigskin prognosticators — the ESPN “experts” only went .541. The top scorer for the third straight week was Vegas Vinny going 10-4. We’re also going to let the weekly winner of the Sportscolumn pickem contest pick the games as well. Week 3’s winner was Jackson with 12 correct and his picks for this week are included below.
The featured games this week are Minnesota @ Buffalo, San Diego @ Baltimore, New England @ Cincinnati, and Seattle @ Chicago. You can download the podcast directly (running time 35 mins) or subscribe to the feed.
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Week 4 Picks
| MATCHUP | Vegas Vinny | BostonMac | Trevor | RJ Warner | Pickem Winner* |
| Cards @ Falcons | Falcons | Cards | Falcons | Falcons | Falcons |
| Colts @ Jets | Colts | Colts | Colts | Colts | Colts |
| Dolphins @ Texans | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins |
| Cowboys @ Titans | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys |
| Vikings @ Bills | Bills | Vikings | Vikings | Vikings | Vikings |
| Saints @ Panthers | Panthers | Saints | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers |
| Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens | Ravens | Ravens | Chargers | Chargers |
| Niners @ Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs | Niners | Chiefs |
| Lions @ Rams | Rams | Rams | Rams | Rams | Rams |
| Browns @ Raiders | Browns | Browns | Browns | Browns | Raiders |
| Jaguars @ Redskins | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars |
| Patriots @ Bengals | Bengals | Bengals | Bengals | Bengals | Bengals |
| Seahawks @ Bears | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Bears | Bears |
| Packers @ Eagles | Eagles | Eagles | Eagles | Eagles | Eagles |
| Prev Week | 10-4 (.714) | 9-5 (.643) | 8-6 (.571) | 6-8 (.429) | 7-7 (.500) |
| Overall | 35-11 (.761) | 30-16 (.652) | 29-17 (.630) | 27-19 (.587) | 31-15 (.674) |
| LOCKS | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 | n/a |
**The weekly winner from the Sportscolumn Weekly Pickem Contest will be featured as the fifth prognosticator.
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Locks of the Week
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[Editor’s Note: This year, we’re making the Locks of the Week a little more interesting as we have a side bet amongst the four experts. The person with the most money at the end of the year in Locks betting takes home all the money. Disclaimer: The amounts discussed are for illustrative and entertainment purposes only. Gambling may be illegal in your locale.]
Vegas Vinny: Sorry I’ve been letting you down folks. I’ve been going against my gut and going with the trends and those trends are biting me in the ass. Chicago was 55-5-2 ATS when winning the game straight up? Well after I put money on them last week, they’re 55-6-2. Bastards. Anyway, I’m going trend free this week. I have no idea how Jax has done ATS in the past 5 years or what they’re like against the NFC East ATS. What I do like is that the Jaguars are good enough on defense to hold the Colts to 14 points. On the flip side, this line is so low because Mark Brunnel and the Redskins had a big win against the Texans. But remember, it was the Texans. If Peyton can’t light up the Jaguars, neither can Mark Brunnel, 22 completions in a row or not. I’ll put $55 to win $50 on Jaguars (-3) (Balance = $940)
BostonMac: This marquee matchup of the two best teams in the NFC sees each team coming off a big statement win: the Seahawks completely embarrassed Young Eli and the Giants, while the Bears showed some poise in scoring a late touchdown to beat the Vikings. Chicago’s defense is probably the best in the league; with Shaun Alexander not expected to play, the Seahawks will have to work hard for any points. However, their talented offense will move the ball and will limit the 30-yard fields that have given the Bears offense and their average-at-best QB’s much of their success over the past two seasons. The question comes down to, who can win the battle between the mediocre Bears O and the Seattle D? Ken Hamlin and Michael Boulware (each with 2 INT’s this season) made Eli look like Gary Hogeboom; this is the week that Grossman looks like the inexperienced QB that he is. I’m up a little bit after last week’s Green Bay, so I’m taking the points and putting $110 to win $100 on Seattle (+3.5). (Balance = $1045)
Trevor F: I’m taking Minnesota on the road getting one point. I think Minnesota
will bounce back from their heartbreaking loss at home to Chicago and beat the Bills. Buffalo just lost at home to the Jets and the Vikings are light years better than the New York Jetropolitans. Look for Chester Taylor to have a nice game on the ground. The Vikings win 17-14. $55 to win $50 on Vikings (+1). (Balance = $1,045)
RJ Warner: I love the Bengals (-6) at home this week over New England. Not just because they beat my Steelers in Pittsburgh, but the way they did it. They played nowhere near their best game and they still pulled it out. That?s what Elite teams do and the Pats know it more than anybody. The Patriots have been giving up way too many big plays this year and Carson Palmer and his recievers love to make big plays, so look for more this week. The line is a little higher than I expected, but it doesn’t matter this week. These two teams are going in opposite directions, and Bill the Genius won’t be able to coach his way out of this one. The Bengals simply have better players than the Patriots this year. I’ll put 55 to win 50 on Cincinnati (-6). (Balance = $990)
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36 replies on “2006 NFL Week 4 Picks”
how about those gmen! i bet someone could write a hilarious satire article on the state of the giants clubhouse right now. thank god they are off next week, its been a tough football season so far. as far as my two teams go, penn state and ny, week 1 i was 1-0, followed by 0-2, 2-0 and another 0-2 this week.
i love that they have a week off they can continue to stew and kill each other internally.
Perhaps Giants fans will understand that the 4th Q against the Eagles was the fluke, not the norm.
they are obviously lucky to have 1 win right now. that was a steal.
Yep Amen to that brother.
Please I need info on who will win these games. Vin assisted me in last weeks picks. Those were the best picks i have ever had, except for that damn Denver New England game. We play by confidence points not the spread. Can I please get some feedback?
ARIZONA CARDS NEWS MATT LEINART WILL NOT PLAY SUNDAY. THE CARDS DECIDED TO PLAY DAMN KURT WARNER. LOOKS LIKE A BIG LOSS TO ARIZONA AGAIN.
T.O. WHAT THE HELL IS GOING ON WITH THIS MAN T.O.? I JUST FOUND OUT HE TRIED TO KILL HIMSELF ON PAIN MEDS. DID ANYBODY HEAR ABOUT THIS? WHAT THE HELL IS THIS ALL ABOUT????
Spreads The SportsColumn crew do pick the spreads?????? What kind of crap is that. How hard is it not to pick the spreads. A monkey with one nut can pick just the winners and loosers.
Picking the spreads are one thing but the way i play at work is by confidence points. Do you have a better record than Vin???????? dont think so, so dont talk s**t.
you mean losers? Against the spread is a horse of a whole different color… we can’t think about that too much or we’d be broke.
check the blog ninja also, we’ll have the picks up tomorrow morning.
wow… I must be an un-nutted monkey because I can’t even pick the effin’ winners right…. 6 and 8?…..fucking steelers..
I’m in a no-spread pick’em… …against other pastors who have NO CLUE about how to bet the spread. Is there a way I can tell when you, Vin, pick a team to beat the spread but not win the game?
I admit that betting the spread is harder, but no-spread is not so easy a one-nutted monkey could do it.
By the way, it’s a bragging-rights pick’em, no money 😉
the picks in this column are always straight up so when you see it listed, it means we have them to win the game.
Once in a while, my Lock of the Week will be a game where I pick a team to cover the spread but not win the game… but that’s few and far between.
Confidence Points Here’s my listing for this week:
Eagles 14
Colts 13
Jaguars 12
Cowboys 10
Chiefs 11
Falcons 9
Rams 8
Bengals 7
Dolphins 6
Panthers 5
Ravens 4
Seahawks 3
Browns 2
Bills 1
If you really listen to what we say on the show… We talk about the spreads in a lot of the games, as in “don’t touch those 9.5 points but take the Colts to win.”
“The Eagles are going to Hatef**k the niners” Translation: this’ll be a blowout and go ahead and give the points. We give the advice, it’s up to you what you want to do with it.
Your Chiefs pick………. is a clear reflection of the fact that your egging me on. No way you actually believe that. Oh wait……I’m reverse jinxing this week…….good pick on the Chiefs…….wait to go…..I love that pick.
for reference please see last week. 🙂
seahawks How are they going to win on the road against an undefeated team without their star running back? The Bears won’t crush the Hawks, but they’ll beat them.
It aint december yet I don’t think Soldier Field is going to be that much of a HFA against the Seahawks. RJ mentioned that Sea isn’t very good on the road and I agree but I think they’ll pull this out. Moe Morris is good.
Okay… Even though you’re going against every other expert on the site, and even though you’ve listed it at the bottom of your confidence points I WILL NOT switch picks at the last minute this week. GO BILLS, and Viva La Vin.
uhhhhh you might want to go with the majority… it IS at the bottom of my confidence ratings….
Brother Vin… …if you tell me to switch my pick, I will, but ONLY if you directly tell me to.
hmmmm if I tell you to switch your pick, then the Bills will win… if I don’t the Vikings might pull it off… tough call. I’ll stick to my original pick of the Bills.
Thanks Thank you Vin I know your pics will never let ms down. Nobodys picks anywhere are better than yours. Always stick with Vin.
Vin has spoken Amen.
Hey Vin Do you think it’s time we start worshipping you? I mean, it looks to me that you already have loyal following…even a pastor!!
All I’m saying is that if you start a football cult, I just want some type of high rank..
Thank You Sir
not unless i got perfect one of these weeks so basically… no.
I dont think anyone has ever had a perfect week.
dumb question where can i go and do the pick’em for week 4?
Seahawks…… Ok, I am biased! I live in Seahawk country and have suffered with them as a loyal fan for 30 years through some of the worst seasons imaginable. So to say that I enjoyed last season (in spite of some of the worst calls in Super Bowl history) and am enjoying this season (so far) would be a huge understatement!
That being said, I do not think that Alexander being out will be that much of a factor tonight. Most of us who watch the Seahawks week in and week out think that Morris has actually been the better running back through the first three games. I think that the Seahawk offense will score it’s points…. I think the real question is can Chicago’s offense (which has been average, at best) score against a very good Seattle defense…. We will have to see…. The Seattle defense had a huge fourth quater let down against the Giants last week after playing tough for the first three quarters. If they play the same this week the Bears will walk all over them. Should be a huge, early season game!
Ok… I’ve realized when the NFL gives you a gimme putt (49ers-chiefs)…you take it…picking the 49ers is the exact same thing as knocking a 12-inch putt into the lake.
Stop the love fest of all that is Vinny Stop kissing his butt. When he can give advise on the spreads and do just as well, then it’s worth kissing (with your lips).
Can we all say WACO? Can we all say WACO, or MOVE since Vinny is familiar with the slums of Philly?
Can we all say WACO? Oh please… Can we all say WACO now? or MOVE since Vinny is familiar with the slums of Philly when he used to live there when MOVE happened.
Thanks Thanks Vin For the picks. You NEVER let us down. Thanks again.
What do you……… …………. guys think about this, I know this is sports column, but do you think this web site should also include UFC? I mean it is a sport, and there is a big following, and now i go on their website, and they have UFC fantasy. Whats up with that?????