In a blink of an eye it’s week 14 and contenders are jockeying for playoff positioning. This makes even the most seemingly boring game important as we fire up the playoff scenario generator and figure out how strength of schedule can affect seeding. The featured games this week are St. Louis at New Orleans, New England at Chicago, Kansas City at San Diego, and Philadelphia at Dallas.
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NFL Week 14 2010 Picks
|Colts @ Titans||Colts||Titans||Colts||Colts|
|Bucs @ Redskins||Bucs||Bucs||Bucs||Redskins|
|Falcons @ Panthers||Falcons||Falcons||Falcons||Panthers|
|Bengals @ Steelers||Steelers||Steelers||Steelers||Bengals|
|Browns @ Bills||Bills||Browns||Browns||Browns|
|Packers @ Lions||Packers||Packers||Packers||Lions|
|Raiders @ Jaguars||Jaguars||Jaguars||Jaguars||Jaguars|
|Giants @ Vikings||Giants||Vikings||Giants||Giants|
|Rams @ Saints||Saints||Saints||Saints||Rams|
|Seahawks @ Niners||Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks|
|Dolphins @ Jets||Jets||Jets||Jets||Jets|
|Patriots @ Bears||Patriots||Patriots||Patriots||Patriots|
|Chiefs @ Chargers||Chargers||Chargers||Chargers||Chargers|
|Broncos @ Cards||Broncos||Broncos||Cards||Cards|
|Eagles @ Cowboys||Eagles||Eagles||Eagles||Cowboys|
|Ravens @ Texans||Ravens||Ravens||Ravens||Texans|
|Prev Week||12-4 (.750)||12-4 (.750)||12-4 (.750)||8-8 (.500)|
|Overall||117-75 (.609)||114-78 (.594)||115-77 (.599)||108-82 (.568)|
Against the Spread
|Colts @ Titans (+3.5)||Colts||Titans||Titans||Colts|
|Bucs @ Redskins (+2)||Bucs||Bucs||Bucs||Redskins|
|Falcons @ Panthers (+7.5)||Falcons||Panthers||Falcons||Panthers|
|Bengals @ Steelers (-9.5)||Bengals||Bengals||Bengals||Bengals|
|Browns @ Bills (-1)||Bills||Browns||Browns||Browns|
|Packers @ Lions (+7)||Packers||Lions||Lions||Lions|
|Raiders @ Jaguars (-4)||Raiders||Jaguars||Jaguars||Raiders|
|Giants @ Vikings (+2.5)||Giants||Vikings||Giants||Giants|
|Rams @ Saints (-10)||Saints||Rams||Rams||Rams|
|Seahawks @ Niners (-5.5)||Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks|
|Dolphins @ Jets (-5.5)||Dolphins||Jets||Dolphins||Dolphins|
|Patriots @ Bears (+3)||Patriots||Patriots||Patriots||Patriots|
|Chiefs @ Chargers (-7)||Chargers||Chiefs||Chiefs||Chiefs|
|Broncos @ Cards (+5)||Broncos||Broncos||Cards||Cards|
|Eagles @ Cowboys (+3)||Eagles||Cowboys||Eagles||Cowboys|
|Ravens @ Texans (+3)||Ravens||Ravens||Ravens||Texans|
|Prev Week||10-5-1 (.667)||11-4-1 (.733)||9-6-1 (.600)||6-9-1 (.400)|
|Overall||87-98-7 (.470)||98-87-7 (.530)||91-94-7 (.492)||77-108-7 (.416)|
* The peso is a coin flip of an old peso to pick the game.
Locks of the Week
Vegas Vinny: (6-7, Balance =$1060). I’m feeling good about my locks of the week now. I’m in a groove and I’m gonna stick to my instincts. Overthinking is the death of a good gambler. I think the line on the Packers – Lions game isn’t high enough. This is partially due to the Lions hanging in there versus the Bears last week. But the Packers are a much stronger team than the Bears and they’ve beaten the Lions 10 straight time. Look for Rodgers to spread the ball around against the weak Lions secondary. Greg Jennings and Donald Driver should have great fantasy days. The Lions will be able to put up some points but they’ll fade by the 4th. Look for a Lions repeat of the Thanksgiving Day game agains the Patriots.
I’ll give the 7 points (really it’s down to 6.5 now) and put $110 to win $100 on the Packers.
BostonMac: (5-7-1), Balance =$945) I fell asleep last Monday night and I didn’t see the very end of the Patriots-Jets game, so I don’t know if New England held on to cover the 3.5 point spread, but I’ll assume that they won and I won $400 on my bet. So let’s move on to my next strategy: picking against the Oakland Raiders. Somehow the Raiders pulled one of their ass last week on the road in San Diego and shocked the Super Chargers. Now they have to go across the country for a 1:00 game in the Eastern time zone against a fired-up Jacksonville team that can see the finish line with a completely improbably divisional championship in the works. No one (especially RJ) saw this coming. The last time Oakland came east for a 1 PM game, the Steelers socked them in the mouth. Look for the first place Jags to do the same. I’m going to tighten up this week and put $55 to win $50 on JACKSONVILLE (-4).
RJ: (7-3-1, Balance =$1125) I’ve been pointing out some outrageous lines this year, but Seattle vs. San Francisco Part Two: Son of Seattle vs. San Francisco, might be the biggest head scratcher I’ve seen since I’ve been doing this show. I understand the 49ers are at home, but they have played horrible football there as well as everywhere else. You never know what you’re getting when the Seahawks venture away from the Pacific Northwest, but they have put together some pretty good efforts on the road this year, and this game shouldn’t be any different considering they’re in contention for a playoff spot. Mike Singletary has shown that he’s not up to the task of NFL head coaching, while Pete Carroll has acquitted himself rather well, to the surprise of many. And if that hasn’t convinced you, these two words will: Alex Smith. Yep, he’s back for no good reason, so run with Seattle (+5.5) before somebody realizes that they had this line mistakenly flipped. That’s the only reason I can think of. $110 wins you $100.
Burton: (7-5, Balance =$1115). I’ve been on a good run recently with Rams games and with a line like this, I see no reason that luck will change. St. Louis is 5-1 ATS this season on the road, and that lone loss was a 44-6 no-show in Detroit. They’re shooting to become just the fifth team in the past decade to win three weeks in a row on the road, and a straight-up win is not out of the question. The Saints have played down to their opponents all season, losing to the Browns and Cardinals while struggling against Carolina and Cincinnati. While St. Louis may be a division leader, they’re still a team that on paper New Orleans should blow out.
The Rams offense sputtered in the red zone last week in the desert and for the first time Bradford looked like a rookie. He seemed to lose his poise early and missed quite a few open receivers. Yet even when they weren’t firing, the Rams still were good enough to destroy the Cardinals. Moreover, this defense is legit. The Saints have done well against strong defenses and should put up their share of points, but it’s asking a lot for them to win by 10. I figure 27-20 Saints, and I’m gonna put $110 to win $100 on St. Louis.