NFL General

2011 Week 1 NFL Picks

It’s football season! Every season, I give the excuse that week 1 is the hardest week to pick. But looking at the results from last season might give us some insight into what will happen this week. In the first week of 2010, 12 home teams won as well as 10 favorites. In a straight up pick, when in doubt, go with the home favorite.

As far as against the spread goes, think about picking dogs as Vegas/bettors often rate the favorites a little too high. Last year, 8 dogs won vs only 6 favorites, with only 2 backdoor covers.

The featured games this week are Saints @ Packers, Lions @ Bucs, Steelers @ Ravens, and Cowboys @ Jets.

By the way, for those of you on the “NY teams will win because of 9/11” bandwagon, Ryan wanted to remind you that it’s 9/11 for everyone.

You can download the podcast directly (running time 90 mins) or subscribe to the feed. The weekly picks show is followed by a half hour of Poor Man’s PTI.

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