Last week certainly delivered with a fantastic Sunday Night finish. This week, no more bye weeks means an extra game on the slate. The key matchups include the Colts at Baltimore, Chargers at Denver, and Falcons at NY Giants.
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NFL Week 11 2009 Picks
Straight Up
| MATCHUP | Vegas Vinny | BostonMac | RJ | Peso* | Actual |
| Dolphins @ Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Dolphins |
| Niners @ Packers | Packers | Packers | Packers | Packers | |
| Falcons @ Giants | Giants | Giants | Giants | Giants | |
| Redskins @ Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys | Redskins | |
| Seahawks @ Vikings | Vikings | Vikings | Vikings | Vikings | |
| Colts @ Ravens | Colts | Colts | Colts | Tie | |
| Steelers @ Chiefs | Steelers | Steelers | Steelers | Steelers | |
| Saints @ Bucs | Saints | Saints | Saints | Saints | |
| Browns @ Lions | Lions | Lions | Lions | Lions | |
| Bills @ Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Bills | |
| Cards @ Rams | Cards | Cards | Cards | Cards | |
| Bengals @ Raiders | Bengals | Bengals | Bengals | Raiders | |
| Chargers @ Broncos | Chargers | Chargers | Chargers | Chargers | |
| Jets @ Patriots | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots | |
| Eagles @ Bears | Eagles | Eagles | Eagles | Eagles | |
| Titans @ Texans | Texans | Titans | Texans | Texans | |
| Prev Week | 9-6 (.600) | 9-6 (.600) | 9-6 (.600) | 6-9 (.400)) | |
| Overall | 95-49 (.660) | 92-52 (.639) | 89-55 (.618) | 75-69 (.521) |
Against the Spread
| MATCHUP | Vegas Vinny | BostonMac | RJ | Peso* | Actual |
| Dolphins @ Panthers (-3.5) | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Dolphins | Dolphins |
| Niners @ Packers (-6.5) | Packers | Niners | Niners | Niners | |
| Falcons @ Giants (-7) | Giants | Falcons | Falcons | Giants | |
| Redskins @ Cowboys (-11) | Cowboys | Cowboys | Redskins | Redskins | |
| Seahawks @ Vikings (-11) | Vikings | Vikings | Vikings | Vikings | |
| Colts @ Ravens (+1) | Colts | Colts | Colts | Ravens | |
| Steelers @ Chiefs (+10) | Steelers | Steelers | Steelers | Chiefs | |
| Saints @ Bucs (+11.5) | Bucs | Bucs | Saints | Saints | |
| Browns @ Lions (-3.5) | Browns | Browns | Lions | Browns | |
| Bills @ Jaguars (-8.5) | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Bills | |
| Cards @ Rams (+9) | Cards | Cards | Rams | Rams | |
| Bengals @ Raiders< (+9.5)/span> | Bengals | Bengals | Raiders | Raiders | |
| Chargers @ Broncos (NL) | Chargers | Chargers | Chargers | Chargers | |
| Jets @ Patriots (-10.5) | Patriots | Patriots | Jets | Jets | |
| Eagles @ Bears (+3) | Eagles | Eagles | Eagles | Eagles | |
| Titans @ Texans (-4.5) | Titans | Titans | Titans | Titans | |
| Prev Week | 5-10 (.333) | 10-5 (.667) | 7-8 (.467) | 9-6 (.600) | |
| Overall | 76-67 (.531) | 69-74 (.483) | 66-77 (.462) | 69-74 (.483) |
* The peso is a coin flip of an old peso to pick the game.
Locks of the Week
Vegas Vinny: (5-5, Balance =$825) I realize the Rams are coming off a near miss of the Saints and they actually covered last week. But remember, this is a team that has score a TD or less in 4 of their games this year. The 23 points they scored against the Saints was their high water mark for the year. Meanwhile, Arizona averages 35 points a game against St. Louis since 2004. Need some more betting trends? Arizona is 7-3 ATS in St. Louis since 1992 and 3-1 ATS in the past 2 years.
For some strange reason, the Cards are playing lights out on the road this year. They’ll make it 5-0 with a crushing victory of the Rams. Warner has a 72.6% completion rate on the road with 10 touchdowns and 2 INTs. That’s spectacular. Warner also plays well against the Rams to show them what they gave up when they went with Bulger. I’ll put $110 to win $100 on the Cardinals (-9)
BostonMac: (7-3, Balance = $1,335) I don’t have a lot to say about the Pats-Jets game this weekend except I’d love to get Rex Ryan in a dunk tank. The Patriots don’t lose back-to-back games, 2006 vs. Indy and the Jets notwithstanding. History will not repeat itself this weekend in Foxborough. We’ve said enough about last week’s Pats-Colts game– this is the double bounceback/revenge game, and a fierce division rivalry to boot. The Jets are going to get annihilated to the point that I might actually feel sorry for them. Key word is “might.” $55 to win $50 on NEW ENGLAND (-10.5)
RJ: (4-6, Balance = $970) In this year’s NFL, why is Buffalo trying to be the worst team in the league? And that’s no small feat considering the competition. Firing a coach in the middle of the season can sometimes inspire your team for a game or two, but not when you name an interim coach and then immediately contact his replacement. Plus, even if Jauron was there, do you really feel the Bills would have any chance of winning this game? Jacksonville (-8.5) is on a little bit of a roll right now, Buffalo is making sure they get a top three pick in next year’s draft. 55/50
5 replies on “2009 NFL Week 11 Picks and Podcast”
some of the sneakiest backdoor covers of the year by the Niners, Rams and Falcons
Hey you guys are a big help to me. Thanks a ton. When will the picks for the Thursday games be on the site?
Turkey Day that is! 😀
Just FYI – I’m listening to the wk 12 podcast now (yes, I’m behind). Anyway, thought you’d want to know, one of you guys hit the exact Eagles/Bears score in this podcast (week 11).
I was waiting to hear whoever-it-was brag about it, but you guys even ask if you hit any scores, and no one knew. 🙂
Enjoy the podcast – keep it up.
I just went to the tape and it was Ryan.
Damn good job Ryan.