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2009 NFL Week 11 Picks and Podcast

Last week certainly delivered with a fantastic Sunday Night finish. This week, no more bye weeks means an extra game on the slate. The key matchups include the Colts at Baltimore, Chargers at Denver, and Falcons at NY Giants.

You can download the podcast directly (running time 90 mins) or subscribe to the feed.

If you use iTunes, just click here and then click subscribe and iTunes will take care of the rest.

NFL Week 11 2009 Picks

Straight Up

MATCHUP Vegas Vinny BostonMac RJ Peso* Actual
Dolphins @ Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers Dolphins
Niners @ Packers Packers Packers Packers Packers
Falcons @ Giants Giants Giants Giants Giants
Redskins @ Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Redskins
Seahawks @ Vikings Vikings Vikings Vikings Vikings
Colts @ Ravens Colts Colts Colts Tie
Steelers @ Chiefs Steelers Steelers Steelers Steelers
Saints @ Bucs Saints Saints Saints Saints
Browns @ Lions Lions Lions Lions Lions
Bills @ Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars Bills
Cards @ Rams Cards Cards Cards Cards
Bengals @ Raiders Bengals Bengals Bengals Raiders
Chargers @ Broncos Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers
Jets @ Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots
Eagles @ Bears Eagles Eagles Eagles Eagles
Titans @ Texans Texans Titans Texans Texans
Prev Week 9-6 (.600) 9-6 (.600) 9-6 (.600) 6-9 (.400))
Overall 95-49 (.660) 92-52 (.639) 89-55 (.618) 75-69 (.521)

Against the Spread

MATCHUP Vegas Vinny BostonMac RJ Peso* Actual
Dolphins @ Panthers (-3.5) Panthers Panthers Panthers Dolphins Dolphins
Niners @ Packers (-6.5) Packers Niners Niners Niners
Falcons @ Giants (-7) Giants Falcons Falcons Giants
Redskins @ Cowboys (-11) Cowboys Cowboys Redskins Redskins
Seahawks @ Vikings (-11) Vikings Vikings Vikings Vikings
Colts @ Ravens (+1) Colts Colts Colts Ravens
Steelers @ Chiefs (+10) Steelers Steelers Steelers Chiefs
Saints @ Bucs (+11.5) Bucs Bucs Saints Saints
Browns @ Lions (-3.5) Browns Browns Lions Browns
Bills @ Jaguars (-8.5) Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars Bills
Cards @ Rams (+9) Cards Cards Rams Rams
Bengals @ Raiders< (+9.5)/span> Bengals Bengals Raiders Raiders
Chargers @ Broncos (NL) Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers
Jets @ Patriots (-10.5) Patriots Patriots Jets Jets
Eagles @ Bears (+3) Eagles Eagles Eagles Eagles
Titans @ Texans (-4.5) Titans Titans Titans Titans
Prev Week 5-10 (.333) 10-5 (.667) 7-8 (.467) 9-6 (.600)
Overall 76-67 (.531) 69-74 (.483) 66-77 (.462) 69-74 (.483)

* The peso is a coin flip of an old peso to pick the game.

Locks of the Week

Vegas Vinny: (5-5, Balance =$825) I realize the Rams are coming off a near miss of the Saints and they actually covered last week. But remember, this is a team that has score a TD or less in 4 of their games this year. The 23 points they scored against the Saints was their high water mark for the year. Meanwhile, Arizona averages 35 points a game against St. Louis since 2004. Need some more betting trends? Arizona is 7-3 ATS in St. Louis since 1992 and 3-1 ATS in the past 2 years.

For some strange reason, the Cards are playing lights out on the road this year. They’ll make it 5-0 with a crushing victory of the Rams. Warner has a 72.6% completion rate on the road with 10 touchdowns and 2 INTs. That’s spectacular. Warner also plays well against the Rams to show them what they gave up when they went with Bulger. I’ll put $110 to win $100 on the Cardinals (-9)

BostonMac: (7-3, Balance = $1,335) I don’t have a lot to say about the Pats-Jets game this weekend except I’d love to get Rex Ryan in a dunk tank. The Patriots don’t lose back-to-back games, 2006 vs. Indy and the Jets notwithstanding. History will not repeat itself this weekend in Foxborough. We’ve said enough about last week’s Pats-Colts game– this is the double bounceback/revenge game, and a fierce division rivalry to boot. The Jets are going to get annihilated to the point that I might actually feel sorry for them. Key word is “might.” $55 to win $50 on NEW ENGLAND (-10.5)

RJ: (4-6, Balance = $970) In this year’s NFL, why is Buffalo trying to be the worst team in the league? And that’s no small feat considering the competition. Firing a coach in the middle of the season can sometimes inspire your team for a game or two, but not when you name an interim coach and then immediately contact his replacement. Plus, even if Jauron was there, do you really feel the Bills would have any chance of winning this game? Jacksonville (-8.5) is on a little bit of a roll right now, Buffalo is making sure they get a top three pick in next year’s draft. 55/50

5 replies on “2009 NFL Week 11 Picks and Podcast”

Hey you guys are a big help to me. Thanks a ton. When will the picks for the Thursday games be on the site?

Just FYI – I’m listening to the wk 12 podcast now (yes, I’m behind). Anyway, thought you’d want to know, one of you guys hit the exact Eagles/Bears score in this podcast (week 11).

I was waiting to hear whoever-it-was brag about it, but you guys even ask if you hit any scores, and no one knew. 🙂

Enjoy the podcast – keep it up.

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