First of all, let me apologize for our very poor showing last week. I don’t know how anyone could have picked the sheer number of upsets that happened. We expect there to be a major correction this week with the favorites winning most of the games. Hopefully, we’ll average at leat 75% right and you guys will trust us with your office pools again.
The featured games this week are Seahawks @ Steelers, Chargers @ Broncos, Bears @ Packers, and the Cowboys @ Bills. You can download the podcast directly (running time 60 mins) or subscribe to the feed.
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NFL Week 5 2007 Picks
| MATCHUP | Vegas Vinny | BostonMac | Trevor | RJ Warner |
| Jaguars @ Chiefs | Jaguars | Jaguars | Chiefs | Chiefs |
| Browns @ Patriots | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots |
| Panthers @ Saints | Saints | Saints | Saints | Saints |
| Jets @ Giants | Jets | Giants | Jets | Jets |
| Seahawks @ Steelers | Seahawks | Steelers | Steelers | Steelers |
| Dolphins @ Texans | Texans | Texans | Texans | Dolphins |
| Cards @ Rams | Cards | Cards | Cards | Cards |
| Lions @ Redskins | Redskins | Lions | Redskins | Lions |
| Falcons @ Titans | Titans | Titans | Titans | Titans |
| Bucs @ Colts | Colts | Colts | Colts | Colts |
| Chargers @ Broncos | Broncos | Broncos | Broncos | Chargers |
| Ravens @ Niners | Ravens | Ravens | Niners | Ravens |
| Bears @ Packers | Packers | Packers | Packers | Packers |
| Cowboys @ Bills | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys |
| Prev Week | 6-8 (.429) | 7-7 (.500) | 5-9 (.357) | 6-8 (.429) |
| Overall | 36-26 (.581) | 40-22 (.645) | 35-27 (.565) | 36-26 (.581) |
| LOCKS | 1-3 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
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Locks of the Week |
[Editor’s Note: This year, we’re making the Locks of the Week a little more interesting as we have a side bet amongst the four experts. The person with the most money at the end of the year in Locks betting takes home all the money. Disclaimer: The amounts discussed are for illustrative and entertainment purposes only. Gambling may be illegal in your locale.]
Vegas Vinny: Oh I’m taking a huge beating this year on my locks of the week. Good thing I went big in week 3 to cover my crappy losses. This week, I’m going with the Seahawks as the upset special. While dominant in the first few games, the Steelers showed that they were indeed vulnerable. The Seahawks secondary (a very good unit) can focus in on Holmes with Ward either sidelined or hobbled with injury. I expect the Steelers to go back to a heavy dose of rushing after trying to open up the playbook last week and failing to in. Holmes had a spectacular day but a L is a L.
On the other side of the ball, it’s going to be hard for the Seahawks to pound the ball against a tough Steelers front 7. So expect Holmgren to go to a pass happy offense and carve up the yardage little by little on quick slants. If Hasselbeck plays fairly mistake free football, the WRs can get open and chew up clock (yes, even in a passing attack) and win this game. I expect the Seahawks to win this game but I’ll be happy to take the 6 points and a backdoor cover. $55 on the Seahawks (+6) to win $50. (Balance = $930)
BostonMac: I haven’t taken the Pats as a lock all year. I keep telling myself, “They’re giving too many points,” “Belichick will take his foot off the gas early,” or “There’s no way they win by 17. 10 maybe, but not 17.” This week I rationalized, “No way Bill runs it up against his buddy Romeo Crennel and the Browns.” But this is a new era of Patriots football. An era in which Belichick and his minions are desperate to shove Videogate and last year’s Colts loss up everyone else’s collective arse. The Patriots are pissed, and the rest of the league is feeling the brunt. Let’s put it this way: Brady completed 78% of his passes on Monday night against the Bengals, and his completion percentage for the season WENT DOWN. There are more technical reasons for the Pats’ success, but I’ll leave that to Jaws and the boys with the telestrators. I’m here to tell you that Romeo or no Romeo, the Pats will again hang 30+ this week. The Browns might not score. No trap game here before the Cowboys game; lay the points and take NEW ENGLAND (-16). (Balance = $1250)
Trevor F: Shockingly enough I am not taking the Tennessee Titans this week. After
going 12-2 versus the spread over their last 14 games (including 3-0 this
year), I think Vegas has officially caught up. They are giving 8.5 to
Atlanta this week. 7 or 7.5 is what the spread should be, however because
of the Titans success there looks to be a 1 point cushion being put on
their game.
With that being said, I am taking the Pittsburgh Steelers (-6). I think they
are going to do to the Seattle Seahawks what Anucha Browne Sanders did to
Isiah Thomas and James Dolan.
(Balance = $1095)
RJ Warner: It’s obvious that the Saints aren’t the Super Bowl contender everyone thought they’d be at the beginning of the year. It’s also obvious that they aren’t the ’76 Bucs and plan on going 0-16. They look like a seven, eight win team at best, and this week will be one of them. Sean Payton did such a wonderful job last year, I’m beginning to wonder if it’s the same guy coaching. Or maybe I should be wondering about Drew Brees. He’s doing his best Billy Joe Tolliver impression, and it has the Saints singing the blues. Coming off the bye, he should have made whatever adjustments he needed to. More importantly, the Saints (-3) are still better than Carolina, who plan on starting David “Oven Mitts” Carr this week. I’ll bet $55 against Carr any week. (Balance = $1095)
