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Week 3 2008 NFL Picks and Podcast

The underdogs had their way last week, covering 8 out of 12 games (3 were pushes). Will this week be the revenge of the favorites? We’ll see. Game by game breakdown as well as betting tips in the week 3 podcast.

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NFL Week 3 2008 Picks

MATCHUP  Vegas  Vinny  BostonMac  Trevor  RJ Warner
Chiefs @ Falcons Falcons Falcons Falcons Falcons
Raiders @ Bills Bills Bills Bills Bills
Bucs @ Bears Bucs Bears Bears Bears
Panthers @ Vikings Vikings Panthers Vikings Panthers
Dolphins @ Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots
Bengals @ Giants Giants Giants Giants Giants
Texans @ Titans Titans Titans Titans Titans
Cards @ Redskins Cards Cards Redskins Redskins
Saints @ Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos Saints
Lions @ Niners Lions Niners Niners Lions
Rams @ Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
Browns @ Ravens Browns Browns Browns Browns
Jaguars @ Colts Colts Colts Colts Colts
Steelers @ Eagles Eagles Eagles Eagles Steelers
Cowboys @ Packers Cowboys Cowboys Packers Cowboys
Jets @ Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers
Prev Week 9-6 (.600) 11-4 (.733) 10-5 (.667) 10-5 (.667)
Overall 19-12 (.613) 22-9 (.710) 19-12 (.613) 21-10 (.677)
LOCKS 1-1 1-1 1-1 0-2

Featured Games Against the Spread

MATCHUP  Vegas  Vinny  BostonMac  Trevor  RJ Warner
Panthers @ Vikings (-3.5) Panthers Panthers Vikings Panthers
Jaguars @ Colts (-5.5) Colts Jaguars Colts Colts
Steelers @ Eagles (-3) Eagles Eagles Eagles Steelers
Cowboys @ Packers (+3) Cowboys Cowboys Packers Cowboys

Locks of the Week

[Editor’s Note: This year, we’re making the Locks of the Week a little more interesting as we have a side bet amongst the four experts. The person with the most money at the end of the year in Locks betting takes home all the money. Disclaimer: The amounts discussed are for illustrative and entertainment purposes only. Gambling may be illegal in your locale.]

Vegas Vinny: I love emotion games in the NFL. I’m not talking about emotion picks, those are foolish. What we have this week is a fired up Chargers team that got absolutely screwed by the refs last week. They also are sitting at 0-2. Knowing they can’t afford to go 0-3 should give this team extra incentive. The Jets have a formidable pass rush but the Chargers O-line is doing a great job of keeping Phillip Rivers clean. The Chargers have only allowed 2 sacks in 2 games. Despite the “Brett Favre loves MNF” drivel you’ll hear ad nauseum on ESPN next week, the Chargers simply have a better offensive team that the Jets won’t be able to keep up with. The Jets are averaging 15 points a game while the Chargers are averaging 31. The Chargers are going to come out firing and never stop. I am putting $55 to win $50 on this game. The Chargers (-8) should win this game 41-17.

Oh, I expect to see a few signs about Hochuli in the stands. (Balance= $995)
More betting points:
* Falcons (-5.5) over Chiefs
* Titans (-4.5) over the Texans
* Cardinals (-3) over the Redskins

BostonMac: Lock of the week: If you like money, take the 3.5 points and take the Panthers to beat the woebegone Vikings. These teams are going in two different directions. Carolina, although derided by some as being a “lucky” 2-0, is getting Steve Smith back this week, which should kick their offense into a higher gear. The Vikes are looking to Gus Frerotte to be the savior of their season. Nuff said. The Panthers go into the Twin Cities this week and drop Minnesota to 0-3. I’ll put $55 to win $50 on CAROLINA (+3.5). (Balance = $1005)

Trevor F: If the Super Bowl was awarded on performance against the spread, I think
Tennessee would have won at least once in the past three seasons. Once
again, they have started off the season with a blistering 2-0 start
against the spread and they have another cupcake of a spread being thrown
at them this week. Tennessee is favored by 4.5 over Houston in a game they
will win by at least a touchdown. Give the points and feel good about it. Titans (-4.5) (Balance = $1055)

RJ: To reiterate my Irrelevant Steelers Stat of the Week (that needs a sponsor), Pittsburgh has not won in Philadelphia since beating the Eagles 20-14 in Franklin Field on October 24, 1965. Ok, now that’s out of the way. I just think Pittsburgh is a great team right now. And by great, I mean none of their weaknesses have been exposed. Since it appears Roethlisberger will be ok to go and the entire team in relative good health, the Steelers are just better up and down the roster than the Eagles. Philly seems to be able to score at will, but the points won’t come as quickly against Pittsburgh. As long as the Steelers Defense stays out of mismatches against Brian Westbrook, they can slow the Eagles down just enough. Either that, or I’m finally embracing my inner homer and taking the Steelers (+3) on the road in a tough environment. $55 to win $50.

How ’bout a four-team parlay? Mix and Match if you like, but I’d take:

CAR +3

WAS -3

TEN -4.5 and

INDY -5.5 (Balance = $890)

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