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NFL General

Week 15 2007 NFL Picks and Podcast

There’s only two more weeks folks to move up in the rankings of your office pool, or to get even with your bookie. We’re here to help. But… uh.. don’t blame us if you need to sell blood.

Anyway, Billy went 13-3 last week so you might want to check out his picks this week.
The featured games this week are Bills @ Browns, Cards @ saints, Jaguars @ Steelers, and Chicago @ Minnesota. You can download the podcast directly (running time 75 mins) or subscribe to the feed.

If you use iTunes, just click here and then click subscribe and iTunes will take care of the rest.

NFL Week 15 2007 Picks

MATCHUP  Vegas  Vinny  BostonMac  Trevor  Billy
Broncos @ Texans Broncos Broncos Texans Broncos
Bengals @ Niners Bengals Bengals Niners Bengals
Seahawks @ Panthers Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
Bills @ Browns Browns Browns Browns Browns
Titans @ Chiefs Titans Titans Chiefs Titans
Ravens @ Dolphins Ravens Ravens Ravens Ravens
Jets @ Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots
Cards @ Saints Saints Saints Saints Saints
Jaguars @ Steelers Jaguars Jaguars Steelers Steelers
Packers @ Rams Packers Packers Packers Packers
Falcons @ Bucs Falcons Bucs Bucs Bucs
Colts @ Raiders Colts Colts Colts Colts
Eagles @ Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys
Lions @ Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers
Redskins @ Giants Giants Giants Giants Giants
Bears @ Vikings Vikings Vikings Vikings Vikings
Prev Week 12-4 (.750) 12-4 (.750) 11-5 (.688) 13-3 (.813)
Overall 130-78 (.625) 137-71 (.659) 123-85 (.591) 52-26 (.667)
LOCKS 6-8 8-6 6-4-1 3-1

Locks of the Week

[Editor’s Note: This year, we’re making the Locks of the Week a little more interesting as we have a side bet amongst the four experts. The person with the most money at the end of the year in Locks betting takes home all the money. Disclaimer: The amounts discussed are for illustrative and entertainment purposes only. Gambling may be illegal in your locale.]

Vegas Vinny: You know what lesson we learned from from Anthony Smith last week? It’s that you don’t give any team any extra motivation. It’s a huge part of the week to week balance in the NFL. For the most part, every starter in the NFL is the cream of the crop in terms of football players (well, except for Rex Grossman) and motivation and drive is what separates winners from losers. While the Patriots got extra motivation from Smith’s bulletin board material last week, the Falcons got it in the form of their cowardly coach bailing in the middle of the night to take a job with Arkansas.

When you have veterans like Lawyer Millow saying stuff like, “This league is not for everybody. This league is for real men. I think [Bobby Petrino] realized he didn’t belong here,” you know the Falcons are going to be extra fired up going into this week’s game. Forget the gameplanning, the relative talent levels of the Bucs vs the Falcons. Forget whether Jeff Garcia will be healthy or not. This is going to be a huge FU to Bobby Petrino from the dirty birds. I actually think they’ll win this game but I’m not sneezing at the 13.5 points that my bookie Vegas is giving me. I feel so good about this lock that I’m putting down my biggest bet of the season: $330 on the Falcons (+13.5) to win $300. Mark it down. I’m taking the lead after this week. (Balance = $990)

BostonMac: Last week I was under the impression that the Steelers were the kind of team that could contend with the elite of the league and give the Pats a game in Foxborough. Strangely enough, the Steelers were kind of exposed, as their #1 pass defense ranking was shattered by Tom Brady’s 399 yards (which should have been 400+ if not for a few uncharacteristic drops including Randy Moss in the end zone. Straight cash, homey.) Now in comes the underrated David Garrard and the hot Jaguars, flying under the radar in the shadow of the more established AFC powers, but with just as much ability to spread around their offense as the mighty Patriots. Garrard has taken remarkable care of the ball this year (still no INTs) and that will be a huge factor in the cold, possibly snowy Heinz Field tundra. I’m going to take the upset here; the Steelers are a good team but not great, and they’re running into a Jags team that is peaking at just the right time and looking to make some noise in the playoffs. You think Jack Del Rio made the right choice in cutting Byron Leftwich? More vindication this weekend as JACKSONVILLE (+3.5) goes into the Steel City and punches the black and gold in the mouth. $55 to win $50. (Balance = $1220)

Trevor F: I am going to take the Saints and lay the 3.5 points against the
Cardinals. New Orleans is quietly playing some good football once again
and their offensive attack should overwhelm the Cardinals. Drew Brees and
Marques Colston have been humming with Colston emerging as a top five
wideout and fantasy legend over the last half of the season. To me, if
the Saints get into the playoffs as the sixth seed, they will be the type
of dangerous team that you do not want to see in the first round. $55 to win $50 on the Saints (-3.5) (Balance = $1020)

Billy Fellin: This week I’m going to take the Cleveland Browns over the Buffalo Bills. Cleveland is showing that playoff potential in the AFC (not that they will go very far with the juggernauts of the Colts and Pats but let them hope) and the Bills really don’t have much of a shot. Then again, football has been crazy this year, so anything can happen. But with Derek Anderson showing confidence under center, Jamal Lewis running over defenders like its his job (cause it kinda is) and Braylon Edwards catching touchdowns left and right, I think it’s more firepower than the Bills can stop defensively. The Browns keep rolling to the playoffs for the first time this century as they roll over the Bills, I’ll put $55 on the Browns (-5.5) to win $50 (Balance = $985)

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