NFL General

2006 NFL Week 1 Picks

Welcome back football fans! We’re back for the 2006 NFL season. Every week, we pick all games straight up and then give you our Lock of the Week against the spread. This year, we’re throwing a little wrinkle into the Locks of the Week by telling you how much we’d put on each game. This will give you a sense of how good we feel about each Lock.

As with last year, we have an associated podcast where we discuss a bunch of games in depth. The featured games this week are Miami @ Pittsburgh, Atlanta @ Carolina, Cincinnati @ Kansas City, Dallas @ Jacksonville, and Indianapolis @ NY Giants. You can download the podcast directly (running time 38 mins) or subscribe to the feed.

If you use iTunes, just click here and then click subscribe and iTunes will take care of the rest.

Week 1 Picks

MATCHUP Vegas Vinny BostonMac Trevor RJ Warner
Dolphins @ Steelers Dolphins Steelers Dolphins Steelers
Falcons @ Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers
Ravens @ Bucs Bucs Bucs Bucs Bucs
Bills @ Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots
Bengals @ Chiefs Bengals Bengals Chiefs Bengals
Broncos @ Rams Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos
Saints @ Browns Saints Browns Saints Browns
Jets @ Titans Titans Titans Titans Jets
Eagles @ Texans Eagles Eagles Eagles Eagles
Seahawks @ Lions Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
Bears @ Packers Bears Bears Bears Bears
Cowboys @ Jaguars Jaguars Cowboys Jaguars Cowboys
Niners @ Cards Cards Cards Niners Cards
Colts @ Giants Colts Colts Colts Giants
Vikings @ Redskins Vikings Redskins Vikings Vikings
Chargers @ Raiders Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers
Prev Week

Locks of the Week

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[Editor’s Note: This year, we’re making the Locks of the Week a little more interesting as we have a side bet amongst the four experts. The person with the most money at the end of the year in Locks betting takes home all the money. Disclaimer: The amounts discussed are for illustrative and entertainment purposes only. Gambling may be illegal in your locale.]

Vegas Vinny: Last year, I made a huge mistake on opening weekend and make the Eagles my Lock of the Week against the Falcons. That didn’t exactly turn out the right way. But this year, the Eagles are determined to make a fresh start without TO and both Andy Reid and McNabb have something to prove. McNabb has looked great in the preseason — slimmer, quicker, more accurate and he has two pretty good WRs to throw to in Reggie Brown and Donte Stallworth. Defensively, the Eagles are much improved at D-line with the acquisition of Darren Howard. This should help their secondary return to Pro Bowl form. On the flip side, the Texans franchise still is stuck in expansion mode having never gotten David Carr the protection he needs. The biggest surprise of the draft wasn’t just not taking Reggie Bush but not trading down to take D’Brickashaw Ferguson. Do the Texans expect David Carr to turn into Michael Vick? This should be an easy victory for the Eagles and certainly worth putting $55 to win $50 on the Eagles (-6). (Balance = $1,000)

BostonMac: There is no way the Falcons roll into the Tar Heel State and take down the mighty Panthers in Week One. In fact, there’s probably no way they get within three touchdowns. This is Carolina’s year in the NFC, and even though Steve Smith appears to be hurting, the Panther D will hold Michael “Don’t call me Kordell Stewart” Vick in check enough for Jake Delhomme to manufacture some plays. Last fall we thought Atlanta was legit after pulling off a big W in week one over Philly, but don’t forget that last year at this time we also thought that it was pretty safe to wrestle stingrays. (Too soon?) A lot can change in a year. I’m putting $55 to win $50 on CAROLINA (-5) over Atlanta. (Balance = $1,000)

Trevor F: I’m a big believer in the Vikings this year. I loved the additions of
Chester Taylor and Steve Hutchinson. Hutchinson was quite possibly the best guard in football last year and I think he will help open big holes for Taylor. The Vikings were a completely different team down the stretch with Brad Johnson at the helm. I think the momentum keeps up this year. The big determining factor when I look for a team that is the underdog is “can this team win outright”. Minnesota is a better team than Washington and should win outright. Them getting 5 points is ludicrous. Put $55 to win $50 on the Vikings (+4.5). (Balance = $1,000)

RJ Warner:
I’m taking the Broncos over the the Rams for my Lock of the Week. Denver has always been a great running team, and the Rams ranked 28th against the run last year and tied for the league lead by giving up 22 rushing touchdowns. Either Bell, Mike or Tatum, shouldn’t have a problem slicing through the Rams defense, which is still a work in progress. Denver is a possible Super Bowl contender while the Rams are rebuilding with a new head coach and a transition to becoming a ball-control offense. If you can’t stop the run, however, you won’t be able to get your running game going. The fact that this line is so low is ridiculuos, and the Broncos should have no problem covering this. I was tempted to put a lot of money on this. But, considering it’s only the first week, I’ll stay on the conservative side but still put $110 to win $100 on the Broncos (-4). (Balance = $1,000)

2 replies on “2006 NFL Week 1 Picks”

tokar… you’re looking at this the wrong way I went 1-0 🙂

but you’re right.. 2 for 4 is not a great hit rate.  as andy reid would say, “we need to do a better job there.”

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