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NFL Week 15 Picks – December 18 2005

Some great games last week made the weekly picks more interesting. A respectable 70% correct last week (Dolphins over Chargers?!) but we’re looking to do better this week. Ryan is still running away with it and barring a monumental collapse like the ’64 Phillies, he will win the overall pick title. However, everyone else is tied for 2nd place at a .668 percentage.

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Week 15 Picks

MATCHUP Vegas Vinny Teri Berg BostonMac Trevor F
Bucs-Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots
Chiefs-Giants Chiefs Giants Giants Giants
Broncos-Bills Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos
Cards-Texans Cards Cards Cards Cards
Panthers-Saints Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers
Jets-Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins
Eagles-Rams Eagles Eagles Eagles Rams
Steelers-Vikings Steelers Steelers Steelers Vikings
Chargers-Colts Chargers Colts Colts Colts
Seahawks-Titans Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
Niners-Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars
Bengals-Lions Bengals Bengals Bengals Bengals
Browns-Raiders Browns Browns Browns Raiders
Cowboys-Redskins Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Redskins
Falcons-Bears Bears Bears Bears Falcons
Packers-Ravens Ravens Ravens Ravens Ravens
Prev Week 12-4 (.750) 12-4 (.750) 9-7 (.563) 11-5 (.688)
Overall 139-69 (.668) 139-69 (.668) 149-59 (.716) 139-69 (.668)
LOCKS 6-7-1 3-9-2 6-6-2 8-5-1

Locks of the Week

Vegas Vinny: Remember in the week 2 podcast when I said the Cowboys owned the Redskins? Well the last minute collapse aside, they do. 14 out of the last 16? That’s a streak with legs. It doesn’t matter what their relative records are at the time of each meeting, the Cowboys (usually) find a way to beat the Redskins. I like to look at the big mo for these games. Dallas beat the Chiefs, a quality team that would be in the playoffs in the NFC, while the Redskins barely beat the Cardinals. Yes the Redskins defense is tougher than KC’s but all three CBs have injuries and Drew Bledsoe should be able to take advantage. On top of that, the Cowboys are getting 3 points.

Teri Berg: I’d like to go with Dallas upsetting the ‘Skins this week, which will happen if Bill Parcells is as sharp as he was last week against KC. But I’m betting against the spread for the Cincy-Detroit game — with Lions fans dressed in Bengals colors for the anti-Matt Millen “orange out” on Sunday, I’m seeing Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, T.J. Houshmandzadah and Rudi Johnson more than covering that spread. Cincy has the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the league, putting up nearly 27 points per game while the Lions, ranked 26th, earn only 15.6. What’s worse, with Jeff Garcia starting, the Lions average only 12.4 ppg. No way a completely humiliated Lions team comes out and contains Palmer & Co. on Sunday.

BostonMac: I haven’t been willing to lay the money on the Seahawks all season, but that changes this week (even though I might be breaking a cardinal rule of gambling, “buy low, sell high”). 9 wins in a row for Mike Holmgren’s time, and they are going to make it 10 this week against a painfully bad Titans team that is coming off a win over the Texans that doubled as an early Christmas present from Kris Brown. The Seahawks are playing with as much sense of purpose of anyone in the league right now not named the Colts, and they could clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs this week with a win and a Bears loss. They’re going to be fired up to knock around Steve McNair, Billy Volek, Warren Moon, Gary Hogeboom, or whichever mediocre/washed-up QB the Titans throw at them. Seattle avoided a possible trap game last week by bludgeoning the 49ers 41-3; I think they can equally bludgeon the Titans. Lay the points with SEATTLE (-7.0).

Trevor F: New England covers that 4 1/2 against Tampa Bay on Saturday. Right now it is bitter cold in the Northeast and it will probably be snowing again this
weekend. Huge advantage for New England. While Tom Brady is
questionable, I think he cowboys up and goes this Saturday. Tampa Bay wilts in the cold on Saturday and loses this game 17-10. Patriots (-4.5)

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