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Applying Common Sense To The NBA Draft-Part III "The Fazekas Affair"

By Trevor, Section NBA
Posted on Thu Jan 04 2007 at 2:05 PM EST Printer Friendly Page
More on: NBA Draft (all tags)

"The two sides are, on the one hand, the old scouts and, on the other, Billy Beane. The old scouts are like a Greek chorus, it is their job to underscore the eternal themes of baseball. The eternal themes are precisely what Billy Beane wants to exploit for profit - by ignoring them."
-Michael Lewis in "Moneyball"

With college basketball season in full swing and with the NBA draft five months away; it is time to take up the cause of another overlooked college player.  Last season we pointed out the insanity of taking Andrea Bargnani over Adam Morrison.  While Bargnani has performed admirably, let the record show that Adam Morrison just recorded his first thirty-point game and is trouncing him statistically (14, 3 and 2 versus 10, 4 and 1).  The point we made in our first two installments of "Applying Common Sense to the NBA Draft" was that the system being used is completely broken.  Like the old scouts in "Moneyball", you have NBA scouting departments going on their instincts and eyes.  People forget that there is a reason why the elderly need to sometimes get their Driver's Licenses yanked.  

For some time, NBA General Managers and scouting departments have made an almost concerted effort to disregard statistics when making decisions on what basketball players should be drafted.  This idiocy has not only been enabled but also furthered by empty NBA Draft analysts like ESPN's Chad Ford.  This is how college stars ranging from Tayshaun Prince to Josh Howard to Jameer Nelson fell to the lower half of the first round.  This is how Darko Milicic got drafted ahead of Carmelo Anthony, Dwyane Wade, T.J. Ford and Kirk Hinrich.  This has always puzzled me due to the place college basketball occupies in the American sports atmosphere.  There are two events each year, which captivate an entire nation and rope in people who normally could not care less about sports.  They are the Super Bowl and the NCAA Tournament.  You can make an outstanding argument that when basketball players graduate from college they actually move down a level in terms of stage.

As I was surfing a few NBA draft sites, I looked for one name that I knew would be undervalued and sure enough it was.  On the two major draft sites (www.nbadraft.net and www.draftexpress.com) he was ranked in the low first round and in the high second round.  Let me tell you that if he does in fact slip this far, it will be the ultimate in terms of mindlessness.  The player I am referring to is Nick Fazekas and all he has been is a star since the moment he started playing college basketball for the University of Nevada.

"If Billy had the first pick in the entire draft he'd take Swisher with it."

If Nick Fazekas' name was Nick Fazekovich and he was 20 years old from Croatia, is there any doubt that he would be ranked in the top five of every single mock draft.  When you watch Nick Fazekas play the game there is an ease to it.  He just dominates the opposition.  This domination is reflected in the gaudy statistics he has put up over his four years of college.  

2003-2004  12.6 pts   7.6 rebs.  52.8% FG percentage
2004-2005  20.7 pts   9.4 rebs.  50.2% FG percentage
2005-2006  21.8 pts  10.4 rebs.  52.9% FG percentage
2006-2007  20.9 pts  12.4 rebs.  57.7% FG percentage

Those numbers alone do not reflect the development of Fazekas or the fact that he will be an extremely good NBA player.  Fazekas shoots 42.9% from three-point range!  And he's 6'11" 240 pounds!  So in summary, we have a guy who is a walking double-double that can also step out and shoot the ball at an extremely proficient rate.

"The idea had led Billy Beane to take action, and his actions had consequences. He had changed the lives of ballplayers whose hidden virtues otherwise might never have been seen."

There is one last set of statistics that cannot be quantified but should be entered in as an exhibit for the prosecution.  Nevada is currently ranked fifteenth in the ESPN/USA Today Coaches poll.  Nevada has also qualified for the NCAA Tournament every season Nick Fazekas has been in school.  Not only will they qualify again this year, but Nevada is a real Final Four sleeper.  There is no one man more important to this team's success over the past four years than Mr. Fazekas.  

Foolish is Britney Spears showing off her "cameltoe" to the paparazzi or CBS greenlighting "Armed and Famous".  Stupidity is Tank Johnson owning more weaponry than Luxembourg.  The overlooking of Nick Fazekas should be categorized as blindness.  Let's just hope that there is a basketball version of Billy Beane out there who can capitalize on a system that needs to be repaired.  

If you have any questions or comments feel free to e-mail me at trevor.freeman@realityfanforum.com.

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Draft Sites Noted

#24.  Nick Fazekas

http://www.nbadraft.net

#34.  Nick Fazekas

http://www.draftexpress.com/mock.php?y=2007

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Previous

Applying Common Sense To The NBA Draft-Part I

http://www.sportscolumn.com/story/2006/5/28/16404/2413

Applying Common Sense To The NBA Draft-Part II

http://www.sportscolumn.com/story/2006/6/4/174117/0857

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Applying Common Sense To The NBA Draft-Part III "The Fazekas Affair" | 4 comments (4 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)
Good stuff (#1)
by mw2828 on Thu Jan 04 2007 at 6:32 PM EST
Yeah, awesome article, I agree with you 100 percent. While I can never quite understand what exactly Dick Vitale is saying most of the time, his rant during the draft 2 [?] years ago about how NBA teams are ignoring American talent foolishly in favor of Foreign mystery and upside [ugh, I hate that "word"] was spot on. Why aren't we lending more credence to our kids over here and the competition they're playing against? I mean, who cares if some foreign stiff can dunk on his fellow countrymen? Are you joking me with this stuff? For every Dirk, there has to be ten Frederich Weises [shudders]

It's just basic stupidity. A kid CAN have track record at the collegiate level, and paying little heed to stats just boggles my mind.


Thank you (#2)
by Trevor on Thu Jan 04 2007 at 8:49 PM EST
I remember that rant and it may have been the most intelligent string of sentences ever uttered by Dick Vitale.  

I honestly think that if we keep going this direction that five years from now you are going to see some whiz kid come in and take a Billy Beane approach and draft soley based on college performance.  The media will label him as a genius.......when in essence he was just doing what used to be commonplace when it came to drafting basketball talent

"No, cause it ain't sh*t. Ain't nothing but 10 grand. What's 10 grand to me? Ain't sh*t ... Next time I might shake my d*ck." --Randy Moss
[ Parent ]

The One Team That Does It Right... (#3)
by SportsOverload on Mon Jan 15 2007 at 3:54 PM EST
I mentioned briefly in my last article something about this, but I will get more extensive now. The Chicago Bulls last 5 drafts correlate with your argument and they have improved drastically in the last 5 years because of this. Take a look:

2006:
1st Round Tyrus Thomas, LSU (Final Four experience)

2005:
No Picks

2004:
1st Round Ben Gordon, UConn (National Champ)
1st Round Luol Deng, Duke (Who wins more than Duke?)
2nd Round Chris Duhon, Duke (Final Four experience)

2003:
1st Round Kirk Hinrich, Kansas (Final Four)
2nd Round Mario Austin, Mississippi State

2002:
1st Round Jay Williams, Duke (Final Four)
2nd Round Roger Mason Jr., Virginia
2nd Round Lonny Baxter, Maryland (National Champ)

Notice there are no Europeans or high school picks in the last five years. Also notice, at the begginning of these 5 years the Bulls were as bad as anyone in the league and now they are going to have home-court in the first round.

[ Parent ]

Thank you SportsOverload! (#4)
by Trevor on Tue Jan 23 2007 at 11:38 PM EST
That is an excellent point about the Bulls.  To top it off, the Bulls are always considered one of the best, young teams in all of basketball.

"No, cause it ain't sh*t. Ain't nothing but 10 grand. What's 10 grand to me? Ain't sh*t ... Next time I might shake my d*ck." --Randy Moss
[ Parent ]
Applying Common Sense To The NBA Draft-Part III "The Fazekas Affair" | 4 comments (4 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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