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Baseball's MVP Watch: Edition One

By Jackson Govatos, Section MLB
Posted on Mon Sep 04 2006 at 3:37 PM EST Printer Friendly Page
More on: MLB, Ryan Howard, Daivd Ortiz (all tags)

The MLB MVP is one of the most prestigious individual honors among every team sport. It signifies not only putting up great numbers, but also raising the overall level of your team's play. Usually, there are only two or three main contenders in each league for this award. But this year, players left and right are producing unbelievable numbers. We've got sluggers on pace for 60 homers, average machines, and plenty of difference-makers on contending teams. But who will win? Here's my take as of now.

National League MVP

1. Ryan Howard, Philadelphia Phillies: Getting Howard out recently has been tougher than making it through an entire episode of "America's Got Talent" without changing the channel.  He has been the definition of MVP, carrying the Phillies on his back despite their recent trade of outfielder Bobby Abreu. Howard has made people forget about that trade with his astronomical performance the past two months. Since the All Star break he has 24 homers and 62 RBIs, both the best in the big leagues. Those numbers have helped Howard to league-leading totals in the power categories, with 52 and 133. After his remarkable 4-4, three homerun performance on Sunday, Howard is on pace for 62 homers this season. This is more important than you might think considering that he could break the all-time non-roided homerun record. In case you need more convincing, he's second in the league in OPS with 1.061, second in slugging with .661, and has been the major reason for the Phillies' resurgence up the standings. The most amazing part of all this is that Howard, who's only 26, has just hinted at his potential.

2. Albert Pujols, St. Louis Cardinals: It looked like Pujols had this award wrapped up by May, when he was on a record-setting pace. But the Cardinals have faded, and Pujols has been passed by (slightly) better competition. He showed signs of his April self with a three homer, five RBI game on Sunday that carried the Cardinals to a win. Those totals gave him 42 homers and 114 ribbies on the year, numbers nearly identical to his 2005 year, when he won the MVP. Albert also leads the NL in slugging and OPS, and is top-5 in batting average and on-base percentage. He's playing as good as ever, and the Cards have broken out of their slump as well. But what Pujols is doing is expected, while what Howard is doing is extraordinary.

3. Carlos Beltran, New York Mets: Beltran might have been the top contender at about noon today, but he has been steamrolled by Pujols and Howard after their incredible efforts. However, Beltran has many merits that still deserve serious MVP consideration.  He has career highs in every major category and has done a 180 from last year's enormous disappointments. His 113 runs lead the majors and he has been the leader of the NL's best offense. Beltran is a major reason that the Mets are cruising through the NL, and he remains one of the greatest power/speed threats in the game.  Also he works well in the field, with just two errors in centerfield the entire season for a fantastic .994 fielding percentage. However, Beltran ranks slightly behind Howard and Pujols in every major offensive category, and hasn't been a one-man show in the lineup like they have. He has the luxury of hitting behind Jose Reyes and in front of Carlos Delgado and David Wright, and that could very well cost him this award.

4. Alfonso Soriano, Washington Nationals: Where did this come from? We've always known Soriano to be one of the game's premier power/speed threats, but not to this degree. He is on pace for career highs in homers and steals, ranking in the league's top five in each. Soriano is looking to become the first player this millennium to record a 40-40 season, and the first player ever to record 50-40. This two-way performance separates him from just about every other player and made him one of the most sought-after players at the trade deadline. However, Soriano's Nationals are one of the worst teams in the NL, and he is not doing too well in left field. But he's still one of the better all-around players in the game, and he's finally getting the attention he deserves this season.

5. Lance Berkman, Houston Astros: Though the `Stros aren't going anywhere this season, Berkman has quietly demolished opposing pitchers. He has 112 RBIs and 81 walks despite almost no protection in the Astros' lineup. Berkman gets on base easier than Matt Leinart gets dates, as he is on pace for his 6th straight season with over a .400 OBP. He hits for average, hits for power, and is an OPS hog. But that won't get him the award this year in what seems to be a loaded NL race.

Honorable Mention:

Miguel Cabrera, Florida Marlins

Jose Reyes, Mets

Andruw Jones, Atlanta Braves

Chase Utley, Philadelphia Phillies

American League

1. David Ortiz, Boston Red Sox: Thankfully, the news came out today that Big Papi's heart is fine and he is ready to return to the lineup this week. Injury problems were just about the only thing that could stop him from getting the MVP he deserves. While Boston has seemingly dropped out of the playoff race, Ortiz has done everything he can to carry the team this year. He has been dominant in every form possible, with league leading ranks in homeruns (47) and RBIs (121). Those numbers almost equal his entire 2005 season, when many thought he deserved the MVP.  Papi's OPS and slugging are career highs, and did I mention that he performs well in clutch situations? In case you were wondering, his OPS is 1.247 in "close and late" situations, and he has plenty of walk-off homeruns on his resume. While the Red Sox are all but out of it, Ortiz's numbers just cannot be overlooked.

2. Jermaine Dye, Chicago White Sox: Earlier this year it seemed that Jim Thome was the White Sox's best player, but while Thome has been out recently Dye has been performing. He hit 10 homers and 30 RBIs in August to move himself into the AL's top five in each. He has been a consistent tour de force the entire season, and has one of the most solid lines in baseball to show for it: a .328 average, 39 homers, a .646 slugging, and a 1.039 OPS. Each is good for a top AL ranking. Right now the White Sox lead the AL Wild Card race, and if they win it Dye will be a tempting choice for the top spot.

3. Travis Hafner, Cleveland Indians As far as pure hitting goes, Hafner might be having the best season of any player. He is a consistent monster that has powered Cleveland's excellent lineup. His OPS (1.097) and slugging (.659) rank numero uno in the league. His 42 homers and 117 runs driven in both rank second to Ortiz. Hafner also produces more walks and runs than almost any other player, with 100 of each. Unfortunately the Indians, who are light years away from the playoff picture, are the main problem in Hafner's MVP campaign.  The AL's best all-around hitter hasn't been able to lift the Indians from pure mediocrity.

4. Justin Morneau, Minnesota Twins: While teammate Joe Mauer has gotten more attention for having the "perfect" swing, Morneau has actually had the better season. He drives in runs like a machine, with 114 on the year and more than twenty for four straight months. Also, thanks to a .410 July, he is hitting .318 for the year despite a pitiful .208 April. Since that month he has hit .341 and slugged .619. Basically, Morneau is a beast. He has outperformed Mauer in just about everything and is the main reason the Twins' offense is productive.

5. Vladimir Guerrero, Anaheim Angels Just two years removed from an MVP campaign, Guerrero is having another great year. His .332 batting average, 106 RBIs, and 15 steals make for an impressive line. He has been probably the only Angel who has actually done anything offensively this year. And he has the momentum with a .393 average, 1.176 OPS August. This will just be a case of a stud losing out to even bigger studs.

Honorable Mention:

Manny Ramirez, Boston Red Sox

Jim Thome, Chicago White Sox

Jason Giambi, New York Yankees

Derek Jeter, New York Yankees

Joe Mauer, Minnesota Twins

Many people think Jeter or Mauer deserve top consideration for the MVP. I disagree. While they have each put up a great batting average, they have been outclassed in every other category by the above players. Their homerun and RBI totals aren't close to the top, and they haven't been the best players on their own offenses. If you want a player with a great average to win the award, pick .328 Dye or .332 Guerrero. That said, they at least deserve mention in this article.

Source: ESPN.com

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Baseball's MVP Watch: Edition One | 9 comments (9 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)
MVP's (#1)
by JDWC on Sun Sep 03 2006 at 9:35 PM EST
Howard should be NL MVP but Morneau should be AL
J.D.
mvp (#9)
by Anonymous Fan on Mon Oct 23 2006 at 5:44 PM EST
derek jeter deserves to be mvp because he played a great season and he is nice. he went to the all-star game and came in second for the batting race and he also can acually field his position. ps: ortiz cant field his position

[ Parent ]
Good call (#2)
by bobbyjim45 on Sun Sep 03 2006 at 11:19 PM EST
I think Dye will end up winning the honors in the AL.  Ortiz has probably fallen off by missing so much time.

if (#3)
by cernig on Sun Sep 03 2006 at 11:24 PM EST
the yanks win the world series, jeter will win the mvp no doubts... even though it is a regular season award, postseason credits help big time. it's more then the "average" like you mentioned, that has very little to do with jeter's situation.

morneau and dye would round out the top 3 in my opinion. again both of them postseason contenders and depending on how they do will give all 3 more votes or less. say one of them, dye or morneau's, teams wins the world series i think they would get the edge also, im not just making jeter my homer pick.

papi suffered big time during the last yanks series and with the sox falling extremley fast, so does his chance at the mvp. no to manny for the same reasons.

i say no to mauer this year, definetly one in the future i think however.

giambi needs to learn to hit to the opposite field cause then he would be a serious contender.

hafner is on a terrible team and vlad isn't going to get the angels into october.

thome will be Comback POY.

i think the way howard is playing right now he might steal the award right away from albert.

i definenetly agree more with your assessment on the NL MVP race then i do with the AL.

cernig (#4)
by Jackson Govatos on Mon Sep 04 2006 at 9:12 AM EST
Thanks for sharing your opinion. The MVP is an award based just on the regular season, and I'm pretty sure they vote right after the season is over so no one is swayed by the playoffs. That's how A-Rod won last year after his terrible series.

So for Jeter to win to award, he would have to have an insane month of September, win the AL batting title, and make a few memorable plays in the field. That's how far ahead Ortiz and Dye are in my opinion.

MVP voting (#7)
by Garrett Rudolph on Wed Sep 06 2006 at 1:16 AM EST
Is done at the end of the season, before playoffs start, as you mentioned.

So, playoff performance means nothing in terms of MVP winner, as Cernig implied.

[ Parent ]

Beltran and Ortiz, for me (#5)
by Cellar Dweller on Mon Sep 04 2006 at 3:36 PM EST
Carlos Beltran and David Ortiz have probably been the best clutch hitters this year. Beltran has a couple of walkoffs, and we all know Big Papi's proclivity for the big hit. Plus, I like Beltran's smooth center field play. He's a steadying force out there. Although Ortiz is strictly a dh, he has been dominant like no other hitter this year.

Well written and researched!!!

If (#6)
by JDWC on Mon Sep 04 2006 at 3:43 PM EST
the Marlins win the wild card, NL MVP should be Joe Girardi.

And in response to one of the earlier comments about Thome winning comeback player of the year...do you think it will be him? Because he has to beat out the A's Frank Thomas too.
J.D.
[ Parent ]

MVP American League (#8)
by Anonymous Fan on Tue Sep 12 2006 at 2:44 PM EST
Big Papi MVP????  Next thing you know you'll be talking about giving it to a pinch hitter.  They play only a little less than Ortiz.  Historically they have even have had issues giving the award to Pitchers because they are not full time players.  Neither is Ortiz.  All he has to do is get up four times a game.  He isn't worn down at the end of the season from having to play the field and so he is just as fresh in the batters box as he was in the beginning of the year.  Give it to Mauer, Dye or even Jeter.

Baseball's MVP Watch: Edition One | 9 comments (9 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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