I agree with everything you said except for Green Bay.  I think Green Bay will beat Chicago this Sunday, not because of Chicago resting it's players, but because of the emotional lift that the whole country is giving to Brett Favre.  The Packers are riding on the "wave of emotion."  

New York (no offense) is terible.  There is no way a "playoff calibur" team should lose 6 out 0f 7.  It is disgusting that if they win they are in.  But I would bet my house they lose to an albeit, bad Washington team.  But the 'Skins have shown life this season, as proven by the victory against New Orleans.  

I believe the Packers will be in the playoffs, and they will play Philly.  But I think everyone will be giving Philly the victory before the opening kickoff.  But Philadelphia has earned that respect this season.