NFL General

Week 14 2008 NFL Picks and Podcast

Last week, Trevor won the week by picking 13 out of 16 games correctly and hitting his lock of the week. This week we’ll see if anyone can overtake BostonMac for the overall picks lead. On the podcast, we talk some baseball free agency, Plaxico, and Sean Avery’s sloppy seconds.

The featured games this week are: Falcons @ Saints, Eagles @ Giants, Cowboys @ Steelers, and Bucs @ Panthers.

You can download the podcast directly  (running time 90 mins) or subscribe to the feed.  

If you use iTunes, just click here and then click subscribe and iTunes will take care of the rest.

NFL Week 14 2008 Picks

MATCHUP  Vegas  Vinny  BostonMac  Trevor  RJ Warner
Raiders @ Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers
Redskins @ Ravens Ravens Ravens Ravens Ravens
Jaguars @ Bears Bears Bears Jaguars Bears
Vikings @ Lions Vikings Vikings Vikings Vikings
Texans @ Packers Packers Packers Packers Packers
Bengals @ Colts Colts Colts Colts Colts
Falcons @ Saints Falcons Falcons Falcons Falcons
Eagles @ Giants Giants Giants Giants Giants
Browns @ Titans Titans Titans Titans Titans
Dolphins @ Bills Dolphins Dolphins Bills Dolphins
Chiefs @ Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos
Jets @ Niners Jets Jets Niners Jets
Rams @ Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals
Cowboys @ Steelers Steelers Steelers Steelers Steelers
Patriots @ Seahawks Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots
Bucs @ Panthers Bucs Panthers Panthers Panthers
Prev Week 11-5 (.688) 10-6 (.625) 13-3 (.813) 10-6 (.625)
Overall 128-64-1 (.667) 132-60-1 (.688) 125-67-1 (.651) 126-66-1 (.656)
LOCKS 6-6-1 6-6-1 9-3-1 2-10

Featured Games Against the Spread

MATCHUP  Vegas  Vinny  BostonMac  Trevor  RJ Warner
Falcons @ Saints (-3) Falcons Falcons Falcons Falcons
Eagles @ Giants (-6.5) Giants Giants Giants Giants
Cowboys @ Steelers (-3) Steelers Steelers Steelers Steelers
Bucs @ Panthers (-3) Bucs Panthers Panthers Panthers
ATS 15-22-3 15-22-3 19-18-3 14-20-2

Locks of the Week

[Editor’s Note: This year, we’re making the Locks of the Week a little more interesting as we have a side bet amongst the four experts. The person with the most money at the end of the year in Locks betting takes home all the money. Disclaimer: The amounts discussed are for illustrative and entertainment purposes only. Gambling may be illegal in your locale.]

Vegas Vinny: Did you see the last Giants vs Eagles game? The Giants bullied the Eagles and ran at will against them. They racked up 219 yards on the ground and could have had 300 if they hadn’t wanted to establish some sort of balance in the run pass ratio (hey, how’s that for a novel idea, Andy Reid?) Anyway, in the past few weeks the the Giants have gotten stronger while the Eagles have fallen flat on their faces. I think the only reason this is a less than a touchdown spread is because of the beatdown the Eagles put on the Cardinals on turkey day and the possibility of the distraction that is Plaxico Burress. But the Giants proved last week that they aren’t distracted by Burress when they went out and took it to the Redskins.

The Eagles are no match for the Giants at the Meadowlands. I expected this to be more of a 8.5 9 point spread but if Vegas is gonna let you give only 6.5 pts, take it and run. I’ll put $110 to win $100 on the Giants (-6.5) over the Eagles. (Balance= $895)

BostonMac: I’m hopping back on the Falcons bandwagon just in time for a playoff push! Amazingly, if the season ended today, Atlanta would be in the playoffs and would bounce out the Cowboys on tiebreakers. The Saints are pretty much done with the playoff race at 6-6 and in last place in the NFC South, and since either the Bucs or the Panthers will lose this week, a Falcons win puts them squarely in the drivers’ seat to claim one of the wild card spots or even a division title. Matt Ryan and Michael Turner lead the Falcons to another surprising win in a special season. Take the points and I’ll put $55 to win $50 on ATLANTA (+3).
(Balance = $1235)

Trevor F: I am going to take the Atlanta Falcons and the 3 points and roll the
dice. They might be the most underrated team in football as it seems like
week in and week out they are underdogs or barely favored against teams
who they have a better record than. The Falcons are the team that is
truly in the midst of a playoff race and I think they get a crucial win
over New Orleans. The Falcons have a much better defense than New Orleans
and should run the ball enough to keep Drew Brees and the explosive Saints
offense off the field. $55 to win $50 on Falcons (-3). (Balance = $1395)

RJ: The Jags are a done deal. They were embarrassed in Houston on Monday night, Rashean Mathis, their best defensive player, is out for the year, and coach Jack Del Rio looks like a blazing, soon-to-be-unemployed idiot in his shirt/tie/leather jacket combo. The Bears (-6.5) are fighting for a playoff spot, play well at home and will wear down the depleted, deflated and demoralized Jag-u-ars. 55/50 if I have it.

I also like the Eagles to cover that 6.5 against the giants. McNabb got some confidence back last week, it’s a division rivalry game with a desperate Eagles team with their playoff hopes on fumes. Don’t rule out the possibility a slightly coasting, definitely distracted Giants team. I think the Eagles can stay with the Giants and possibly pull an upset. They’ll at least make it close. (Balance = $100)

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