NFL General

2006 NFL Week 13 Picks

We had a pretty good week last week here at Sportscolumn. Vegas Vinny and RJ Warner went 12-4 while Trevor and BostonMac went 10-6. The national average was 10 wins so we were above average. Again. Al from Ask the Commish has jumped out in front with 116 wins overall but Vegas Vinny is only 1 behind at 115. If you want to see how we stack up against all the experts, check out a very nifty expert picks compilation spreadsheet by our buddy Tokar.

The featured games this week are Chargers @ Bills, Niners @ Saints, Cowboys @ Giants, and Seahawks @ Broncos. You can download the podcast directly (running time 37 mins) or subscribe to the feed.

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Week 13 Picks

MATCHUP  Vegas  Vinny  BostonMac  Trevor  RJ Warner
Ravens @ Bengals Bengals Ravens Ravens Bengals
Cards @ Rams Rams Rams Rams Rams
Falcons @ Redskins Falcons Redskins Falcons Falcons
Lions @ Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots
Colts @ Titans Colts Colts Colts Colts
Chiefs @ Browns Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
Vikings @ Bears Bears Bears Bears Bears
Jets @ Packers Jets Jets Packers Jets
Chargers @ Bills Chargers Chargers Chargers Bills
Niners @ Saints Saints Niners Saints Saints
Texans @ Raiders Texans Raiders Raiders Raiders
Jaguars @ Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Jaguars
Cowboys @ Giants Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys
Bucs @ Steelers Steelers Steelers Steelers Steelers
Seahawks @ Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos Seahawks
Panthers @ Eagles Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers
Prev Week 12-4 (.750) 10-6 (.625) 10-6 (.625) 12-4 (.750)
Overall 115-61 (.653) 105-71 (.597) 113-63 (.642) 106-70 (.588)
LOCKS 5-7 8-4 6-5 4-8
Locks of the Week

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[Editor’s Note: This year, we’re making the Locks of the Week a little more interesting as we have a side bet amongst the four experts. The person with the most money at the end of the year in Locks betting takes home all the money. Disclaimer: The amounts discussed are for illustrative and entertainment purposes only. Gambling may be illegal in your locale.]

Vegas Vinny: I am tempted to look up the trends for the Niners ATS on road games this season but every time I go with a trend, it backfires on me so I’m just going to go with gut instinct here. The Niners are a completely different team on the road and have one of the worst pass defenses in the leauge (ranked #25) and they’re going up against the red hot Drew Brees. (Brees on pace to break Dan Marino’s single season passing record.) If the Niners win this game, it’s because they managed to pound the ball with Frank Gore against a bad Saints run defense. But Gore is a little gimpy and the Niners will be playing catchup from the get go as Brees connects with rookie of the year Colston early and often. What did Meth say? Scared money don’t make money, throw your ones in? I’m throwing 165 of my ones in to win $150. Saints (-7) Geaux Saints! (Balance = $855)

BostonMac: The 49ers let me down last week with my pick for them to win, but I continued my hot streak with locks as the Niners came through with a backdoor cover. Meanwhile, the Saints are a soft 7-4; among division leaders, only the Seahawks in the NFC West have given up more points. The Saints are a good team who are going to the playoffs, while the Niners are a year away. Still, there is no reason why the Niners can’t at least cover and at best win in the Superdome. The whole Katrina-emotion-means-we-can’t-lose-at-home effect has passed over; San Francisco’s talented offense keeps the Saints’ O off the field and pulls off the upset. $55 to win $50 on 49ers (+7) over the Saints. (Balance = $1065)

Trevor F: This is the hardest Lock of the Week to call I have seen in a long time. Las Vegas has their act together and it won’t be easy money like it was the last two weeks if you loaded up on the 49ers. I am going to hop on the Joey Heisman bandwagon, take Miami and give the point against Jacksonville. Essentially, I am betting that the Dolphins will beat Jacksonville in Miami. Miami has quite possibly been the best team in the NFL over the month of November. They are still in the playoff mix and desperately need a win over a Jacksonville team that is ahead of them in the wild card race. $55 to win $50 on the Dolphins (-1.5) (Balance = $1130)

RJ Warner: We’ll never figure this 2006 NFL season out, but I think I might have cracked one code: teams coming off a big win who think they’re the Cat’s Meow, the Big Enchiladas, the All That and a Bag of Fritos “Super Bowl Contenders” tend to fall flat on their facemasks the following week. I can think of numerous examples in the Broncos, Chargers, Falcons, Giants, Eagles, said Panthers…the list goes on and on. The reason is that there’s a fine line in the NFL between winning and losing. A play here, a turnover there, blah, blah. Enogh philosophy, I’m taking the Cincinnati Bengals (-3) over the “It” Baltimore Ravens. I know that’s a tough pick, but as I watched the end of the Ravens completely humiliating the Steelers last Sunday, I thought of one thing: “Save some for next week boys!” The Ravens treated their rivalry game against the Steelers like the Super Bowl, Army-Navy game and Bloods-Crips all rolled into one. I just think they left it out on the field and it will be hard to come back quickly and regain that emotional level. The Bengals, on the other hand, cruised against the Browns, are getting healthy again, and have the Carson Palmer we all remembered back in form. Plus, the Bengals almost came back to beat the Ravens in Baltimore a few weeks ago. I recommend Rudi Johnson either sit this one out or line up as a receiver (cause he ain’t running the ball) and the Bengals try to spread the field as much as possible. Also, the Steeler Effect will rear its fugly head, as teams who played Pittsburgh the week before are 2-8 in the next game. I know it’s weird to give a 9-2 team trying to clinch the division three points, but I don’t have that much to lose anyway. I’ll put $110 on it. (Balance = $305)

14 replies on “2006 NFL Week 13 Picks”

Like I SAID…………..  Do not bet on Atlanta they have alot of issues to resolve. Micheal looks like his true colors are showing, just like his brother’s did in VA.

By the way  Im not finished. If that was T.O. the media would have shit down his throat. Thats not right, but who cares Cowboys are winning.

Amen to that… Vick is 50/50 here in Falcon-land, but yeah, in the long run, if it was O.T. we’d still be hearing about it. Vick still had no right to do what he did, but he’s been fined, let’s move on. Btw, is it just me or are we giving Randy Moss a free pass on quitting on his team again this year?

The Raiders are a joke I think if it was any team but the Raiders, Lions, or Cardinals, the media would have a real problem with Randy Moss.  But right now, they’re inconsequential.  Gee, another Raider who isn’t doing anything.  Same old story.

Bengals as a lock? Wow.  This is going to be a tough game–I’m a Bengals fan, and I must admit that this one’s got me nervous, simply from the first game against the Ravens.  They look really good this year–but the Bengals have a couple/few things going for them:

  1. They actually practiced this week.  Billick gave Baltimore Monday off and half of Tuesday off.  Marvin Lewis had the Bengals practicing all week.  We’ll see if this pays off, but what kind of message does it send if it doesn’t?
  2. The Steeler effect.  Teams playing the Steelers the week before are 4-6, not 2-8.  Unless I misunderstood, that’s what it looks like to me.  Either way, the math looks good to me.
  3. Vegas has them favored.  This late in the season, the handicappers tend to have a decent handle on what’s happening in sports.

But then, I don’t really know anything.  Just a fan, right?


Damn  I like Cinci also, but Holy Shit that Ravens Defense is soooo good. It will be a battle between the Cinci offense vs. the Ravens D. And we all have witnessed the Ravens D shut down teams that have a better offense. OCHO CINCO better be on top of his game tonight.

my bad on that stat… teams are 4-6…I for some reason thought Cincy beat the Falcons and I flat out missed the Broncos beating Oakland the week after playing Pittsburgh…thanks for catching it…but a quick look and it looks like those teams are 2-8 ATS…Go Bengals tonight!!

Great game by the Bengals… Hey, all right!  What an amazing game last night.  There was defense by a team that wasn’t supposed to have defense, a kicker getting frozen by a timeout, and the muffed punt rule.  Exciting and eventful–it was exactly what football is supposed to be.  

IF …………. ………..You look it up when he was in college, not at Marshall but I believe it it was at Florida State or the college he went to before that he was thrown out of school for beating down some white kids and making stupid racial remarks. I fucking hate him.  

i "watched" it online Stupid Shayne Graham might factor into my (and others) FF game this week.  If Cinci scores >14 pts, then the defense for baltimore gets fewer fantasy points.

Pretty exciting ending though.

Go Saints! Don’t look now Trevor and Ryan but the dark horse is starting to make a move in the Locks of the Week race.  The $150 I just won puts me at $1005.  Ryan is down to $1010 and Trevor is at $1075.

Oh and RJ avoids the bookie’s henchmen  for another week as he posts a nice victory with the Bengals -3.

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