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Midseason Coaching Report: Part I (ACC- SEC- Arkansas State)

I know that it is too early to make a judgment, but here is my first coaching report of the season. With the resignation of Bobby Wallace, I felt it was time to make my projections on who is done and who is not.ACC

Boston College 5-1 (2-1) – Tom O’Brien (9th year)
Chance of getting fired: 1%
His job security is a little less than David Stern’s. He has taken this historically mediocre/bad program to six consecutive bowl games. If he gets fired, I’ll never post a grammar correction again.

Clemson 2-3 (1-3) – Tommy Bowden (7th, or final year)
Chance of getting fired: 70%
I would not count on Tommy Bowden coaching Clemson again next year. Yes, they almost beat Miami, but they did not. If they beat FSU and South Carolina and finish 6-5, then he’ll return.

Duke 1-5 (0-3) – Ted Roof (3rd year)
Chance of getting fired: 25%
Does it honestly matter? Does anyone honestly care?

Florida State 5-0 (3-0) – Bobby Bowden (30th year)
Chance of getting fired: 0%
Next.

Georgia Tech 3-2 (1-2) – Chan Gailey (4th year)
Chance of getting fired: 30%
Not a hot seat yet, but warming up. It will take another month to make an estimate. I think he’ll enter next year above 50%….

Maryland 4-2 (2-1) – Ralph Friedgen (5th year)
Chance of getting fired: 0%
Not this year or next year. He’ll need a couple more losing seasons to lose his job.

Miami (FL) 4-1 (2-1) – Larry Coker (5th year)
Chance of getting fired: 5%
If they lose to VT (gimme loss) and one or two other games, watch that number skyrocket to around 20-30% entering next year. OC Dan Werner should be done, period, but he is only 30%….

North Carolina 2-3 (1-1) – John Bunting (5th, or final year)
Chance of getting fired: 70%
He coached the perfect game against Miami last year to save his job. 55-point losses do not help to save your job for a second year in a row. D-O-N-E.

North Carolina State 2-2 (1-2) – Chuck Amato (6th year)
Chance of getting fired: 40%
I’m not trying to cause alarm, but there is reason to believe Chuck Amato could be reaching the end of his days in Raleigh. Last year he failed to guide N.C. State to a bowl for the first time in his 5 years, and this year his team is highly underachieving. His seat is heating up.

Virginia 3-2 (1-2) – Al Groh (5th year)
Chance of getting fired: 1%
Groh took over for the only successful coach in Virginia history and has enriched the history. Unless the team loses each remaining game by 60 points and Al Groh pees in the garden of the Athletic Director, he’ll be back next season.

Virginia Tech 6-0 (3-0) – Frank Beamer (19th year)
Chance of getting fired: 0%
VPI was nothing before Beamer. Now they are VT and he will be there forever. And trust me, the renovated stadium is unbelievable.

Wake Forest 2-4 (1-2) – Jim Grobe (5th year)
Chance of getting fired: 15%
Not yet on the hot-seat, but collapse against Vanderbilt not helping his cause. Neither were 6 close losses in ACC play last year.

This is the second year in a row that all the ACC coaches coached their team’s final game the previous year. However, John Bunting and Tommy Bowden have their work cut out to be back next year.

SEC

Alabama 5-0 (3-0) – Mike Shula (3rd year)
Chance of getting fired: 10%
Until the Tide wins its 8th game, Shula will be at 10%. Win over Florida dropped it from 30% down to its current number. He is a very underrated coach and has his team prepared every game.

Arkansas 2-3 (0-2) – Houston Nutt (8th, or final year)
Chance of getting fired: 50%
Frank Broyles has us all scratching our heads. Sure, he’s pissed off that Houston would dare look into the LSU job and would lose to Vanderbilt, but will he get over it? Especially with Butch Davis on the horizons?

Auburn 4-1 (2-0) – Tommy Tuberville (7th year)
Chance of getting fired: 1%
From debacle to hero. He bought himself three years with the unblemished mark last year.

Florida 5-1 (3-1) – Urban Meyer (1st year)
Chance of getting fired: 2%
Only chance he loses his job is if Florida finishes 5-6. With Kentucky left, it is not likely.

Georgia 5-0 (3-0) – Mark Richt (5th year)
Chance of getting fired: 0%
Safer than a condom on a guy who shoots blanks. He is enough coaches removed from Dooley, especially now that Dooley has stepped down as AD, to have to be compared to anything. Plus, Richt is the second best coaching in the conference, behind only Houston Nutt.

Kentucky 1-4 (0-2) – Rich Brooks (3rd year)
Chance of getting fired: 40%
The team has gotten substantially worse while his predecessor is winning with Baylor! Props to the fans for creating the most high-tech fire[insert coach’s name].com yet. Yes, it has Macromedia Flash Player.

LSU 3-1 (2-1) – Les Miles (1st year)
Chance of getting fired: 2%
Like any first year coach with a Top 10 team, he has no chance of losing his job unless his team collapses to a losing mark. Then he feels a brush of warm air under his arse.

Mississippi State 2-4 (0-4) – Sylvester Croom (2nd year)
Chance of getting fired: 0%
Not yet, at least. They’ll let him go four years, guaranteed.

Ole Miss 2-3 (0-2) – Ed Orgeron (1st year)
Chance of getting fired: 0%
If they go to a bowl game, he gets my vote for SEC coach of the year. Right now it goes to Mike Shula.

South Carolina 3-3 (1-3) – Steve Spurrier (1st year)
Chance of getting fired: 0%
The last first year coach in this list after the renewal of the SEC Coaching Carousel, Spurrier seems to be having trouble learning how to coach in the SEC. Must be something new to him…. Well, he almost beat Georgia with a lesser team. At least he remembers one thing….

Tennessee 3-2 (2-2) – Phillip Fulmer (14th year)
Chance of getting fired: 5%
Something is going to be changed at the end of the season. On that note, Tennessee is behind Vanderbilt in the SEC standings. Sad, but true.

Vanderbilt 4-2 (2-1) – Bobby Johnson (4th year)
Chance of getting fired: 15%
Don’t count on him losing his job, even if they finish 4-7. With South Carolina and Kentucky still on the schedule 6-5 is not unlikely. I bet you never realized the first three schools alphabetically in the SEC were from the west, the next three from the east, the third three from the west, and the last three from the east.

Well, there you have it. The more experienced coaches from the ACC will lose two of their number. The less experienced coaches from the SEC could lose none, one or two. It is still too early to tell.

Up next: Big Ten and MAC
Followed by: Big XII and MWC
Then: PAC-10 and WAC
Eventually: Big East and Conference-USA and Indies

But, as you can tell, I’ve skipped a conference.

So here is Part I of the Sun Belt

Arkansas State 2-3 (1-1) – Steve Roberts (4th year)
Odds of getting fired: 25%
He has not improved the program during his four years. Hopefully they treat him better than Joe Hollis, who was told at halftime of his last game that he was fired. Still too early to tell.

Up Next: Florida Atlantic and Florida International

Comments are greatly appreciated, as always.

By bsd987

I have written for SportsColumn.com since 2004 and was named a featured writer in 2006. I have been Co-Editor of the site since January 1, 2009. I also write for BleacherReport.com where I am a founding member of the Tennis Roundtable and one of the chief contributors to both the Tennis and Horse Racing sections.

I am "Stat Boy" for Sportscolumn.com's weekly podcast, Poor Man's PTI.

I am currently a Junior at Rice University majoring in History and Medieval Studies. My senior thesis will focus on the desegregation of football in Texas and its affect of racial relations.

Please direct all inquiries to [email protected].

Thanks,
Burton DeWitt
Co-Editor of Sportscolumn.com

One reply on “Midseason Coaching Report: Part I (ACC- SEC- Arkansas State)”

Not enough information Your thoughts on SEC coaches were much more developed than ACC coaches. In general, there was not enough information to describe the coaches.

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